Even 250 wins is a rare accomplishment at this point. As a result, Ive chosen not to include him on this article. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. I sincerely hope Flaherty is fine and that theres no reason for concern. This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. He produced the worst set of metrics in a full season in his career. 34. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . It was almost a storybook season for the St. Louis Cardinals as club legends Adam Wainwright, Albert Pujols, and Yadier Molina were reunited and looked primed for a deep postseason run. 5th stage: 60-day IL. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Velocity? Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Laurie Skrivan, St, Louis Post-Dispatch Here's a look at some other top Cardinals not in the Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright Hall of Fame. One Wainwright is a lot closer to establishing than perhaps even he realizes. Adam WainWright's MLB stats are Win-loss record 195-115, Earned run average 3.35 and Strikeouts 2,142. 76-43, 3.18 ERA, 1,183 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. I like that its a round number, but I assure you that this is merely a coincidence. He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. Adam Wainwright has the second-most WAR of any Cardinals pitcher all-time (44.5). But Adam Wainwrights story also isnt complete. He probably wont gain much more ground this year even assuming he does return, and as with the pitchers on either side of him in this list, free agency looms, though it seems unthinkable the Dodgers will let him depart. Sep 14, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) pitches against the Milwaukee Brewers during the fifth inning at Busch Stadium. 1:09 | September 14, 2022 St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you. A Hall of Fame-bound pitcher is slated to take the mound in the top of the first inning of tonights NL wild card game. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. Me talking about it is going to inflame some people Hes not a Hall of Famer! Wainwright said. I want to confine my results to the integration era, as, while this whole exercise is based on some level of silliness, I dont think asking Adam Wainwright to win 40 games and pitch 400 innings is particularly fair. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Flipboard (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window). He was traded to St. Louis in 2003 from the Braves in a deal that saw outfielder J.D. ago. By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). Your login session has expired. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. You may have created an account with another Rogers Media account that can be used to sign in here. SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted We didn't recognize that password reset code. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. They cited various ailments that impacted Wainos performance. Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. While I dont think the statistical mistake that was inducting Rick Ferrell means that we should induct Mickey Tettleton, in my perfect world we would have sixteen Hall of Famers at the catcher position, though the ones who are in would be different (for instance, among the currently eligible, Gene Tenace would be there), and we would go from there. David Price is older than he seems; hes already 32 in a few months with just 122 career wins. MLB starting pitcher who won a World Series Championship with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2006 and was a member of the Cardinals . He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. 2000-2023 Rogers Media. Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? Eleven of the sixty-five are below Wainwright in terms of Hybrid JAWS. All stats used here were sourced from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, Stathead, Bill James Online, Fielding Bible, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball Savant, Brooks Baseball Net and Spotrac. Even in the he falls short but not short enough to not make it hypothetical, the easiest path is likely for Adam Wainwright to post 8.1 WAR under both methods. Theyll defer. If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. . He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. He has led the league in strikeouts three times, including a 300-strikeout season in 2018. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. {* backButton *} Hernandez also holds the distinction of having been the last MLB pitcher to throw a perfect game (2012). However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing . But what is particularly interesting to examine with regards to Wainwright is that if Wainwright were elected, he would not even be close to the worst starting pitcher in Cooperstown. Sorry we could not verify that email address. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? Guerrero was seen walking toward the clubhouse with an athletic trainer in the second inning and was replaced defensively by Rainer Nunez to start the third. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. Flahertys exhibition-season debut was supposed to happen Saturday, but now the assignment has been switched to Sunday. March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. Im not sure its a good idea for Wainwright to proceed with his WBC plans, but the Cardinals wont stop him from going. deGrom has already racked up significant value even while qualifying for the ERA title only five times in eight seasons. Its an unfortunate injury that was sustained to of all places his throwing shoulder. Hes even seen somewhat of a career resurgence after struggling from 2014-2015, he rebounded to lead the AL in strikeouts in 16. Since then, hes made the All-Star team every year, led the league in wins on three occasions, and won a Cy Young award in each league. But if it wasn't for . According to tracking done by Baseball Reference he faced mostly Double A hitters. He had a 4.99 ERA in his last 11 starts in 2022 including a 7.22 ERA in his final six starts. He is known for being a Baseball Player. 3rd stage: Well, his arm hasnt rebounded the way we were hoping for, so were just going to shut him down and see how he responds. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. Focusing on what hes better at: Scherzer is just 19 strikeouts away from 3,000 and should reach the milestone this month, surpassing the likes of Juan Marichal, Roy Halladay, and Bob Feller on the JAWS leaderboard. Updated: Friday, March 3, 2023 11:11 PM ET, Park Factors (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) Adam Wainwright was one of many players lucky enough to have shared a clubhouse with Scott Rolen, the newest member of the Baseball Hall of Fame.. Just to be clear, its not an injury deal; its about him not syncing his body up correctly, and he didnt feel like he was getting the leg drive he typically gets, Cardinals manager Oli Marmol said. St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) sits in the dugout during the second inning of a baseball game between the Cardinals and the Pirates on Thursday, April, 7, 2022, at. Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Well have to wait and see. It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. Perhaps (I would argue this is more likely) a new narrative arc would emergeWainwright, say, grits through physical pain to guide the Cardinals to the 2022 World Series and enters a level of folklore which allows voters to look optimistically upon his borderline statistical case (see: Ortiz, David). Likewise, his 42.4 bWAR is lower than the likes of Javier Vazquez, Al Leiter, and Frank Viola. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). Now his current difficulties are being downplayed because the leg/glute tightness, the back spasms, the finger. Hes 28th in R-JAWS, 1.2 points behind the lowest-ranked enshrined reliever (Bruce Sutter), and at age 33, needs to rebound if hes to have a shot at election that is, if voters will overlook his 2016 suspension under MLBs domestic violence policy, which is uncharted territory for Hall candidates. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. Injury? Adam Wainwright's age is 41. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. Wainwright attributed the late 2022 freefall to a hitch in his delivery after hed been struck on the knee by a batted ball. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame induction? But in evaluating Wainwright by the standards of the modern starting pitchers, he has a path albeit a narrow one that requires him to sustain his late-30s rebirth for at least one and possibly two more seasons that seemed impossible when he was in the midst of an extended sunset phase late in the 2010s. The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. But even if we throw 2020 out, Flaherty averaged only 57 innings of work over the last two years. At least not for starting pitchers. One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. What a different story we could be telling about 'Waino' had he stayed in Atlanta. But Adam Wainwright's story also isn't complete. That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. Still, just one top-10 Cy Young award finish wont get him in the Hall of Fame. Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. As if on schedule, we have our first spring-training round of Is Anything Wrong? with the pitcher. Only Clemens, Johnson, Carlton and Greg Maddux are the only pitchers who have won more. No harm. Hell need more to get his name in the HOF conversation, namely multiple Cy Young award victories and a pivotal role in a Boston World Series championship. He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder. Jos Ramirez, third base (32.8 career | 31.5 Peak | 32.1 JAWS, +4.0 JAWS). Wainwright was between 38 and 40 years old in this stretch. Moving to Adam Wainwright, the 40-year-old moved into second in pitching WAR (again, as calculated by Baseball Reference) last season, and that is where he will stay. Heres a report on Wainwrights Thursday start against the Astros from The Athletics Katie Woo: The velocity on all five of the pitches in his mix averaged between 3-4 mph slower than their average readings in 2022. Yadier Molina, catcher (58.1 career fWAR (incl. Follow Cody Swartz on Twitter (@cbswartz5). Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright may have ended a solid career. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. 2020 has given us many poor and distasteful things, but it's giving me a glimpse into the future for some wild reason. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. Still, Hernandez has quite a resume over the last decade hes been named to six All-Star teams, won 156 games for a perennially-losing franchise that hasnt sniffed the postseason, and hes won a Cy Young award to go with multiple ERA titles. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. Flaherty insists hes feeling great this spring. Adam Wainwright was glad to see Jason Isringhausen enter the Cardinals Hall of Fame: "He had a profound impact on my career and helped me dramatically." Hes endured shoulder miseries and a strained oblique. Scherzer and Hernandez are among a group of pitchers at somewhat similar points in their potential Hall of Fame paths; Verlander, Cole Hamels, Zack Greinke, Adam Wainwright and Jon Lester are in . Hall of Very Good. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. So basically what Im saying is that if Adam Wainwright has a once-every-seventy-five-years season, he should probably make it into Cooperstown. Of the four active starters who are within hailing distance of the JAWS standard (61.1), none has done more to help himself in 2021 than Scherzer, who has been stellar in his age-36 season, pitching to a 2.40 ERA and 3.12 FIP in 146 innings for the Nationals and Dodgers. Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. He's a hell of a pitcher and even better human being. The bad news is that hell finish his age-35 season still short of 1,200 hits (hes at 1,156), meaning that hed have to average at least 160 a total he hasnt reached since 2016 through his age-40 season just to reach the all-important 2,000. Hell get some work in between now and then, and hopefully that will get him on track. Rile people up.. Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. Hey, at least the Cardinals added a proven, quality big-league starting pitcher this past offseason. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. Will this happen? It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). But lets see: frequently injured pitcher, already off schedule in spring training, not quite prepared for a full-on pitching test. The slugger hit .274 with 32 homers and 97 RBIs in 160 games last year. Between that, his three Cy Youngs, and eight All-Star appearances, hes probably punched his ticket even before getting to 200 wins (hes at 187). That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Decade-plus Eagles writer. Adam Wainwright 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA 3x All-Star, 2 Gold Gloves, 2 rings Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; he's going to be 36 in a few months and he's logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). Hes got a long ways to go to reach 200 wins (he has 112), but hes already at 2,031 strikeouts. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. (And hes been getting his work in, at least for the most part.) Hes also climbed from 12th to ninth in saves (372) and should easily move past Joe Nathan (377) and Dennis Eckersley (390) within the next year. Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. Strikeouts are booming like never before. His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. This may not seem particularly grandiose, and probably not even close to Cooperstown worthiness, but it should be noted that with sixty-five elected, starting pitcher is far and away the most commonly enshrined position in the Hall (it has also, pre-bullpen expansion, been the most common position, so this shouldnt be too surprising). It is not as though a 6.4 WAR season alone would do the trickwhile this would put Wainwright over 50 bWAR and at 56.4 fWAR (assuming he hit 6.4 on both metrics), the impact on Wainwrights peak would be much smaller, since he was reasonably good in his seventh best season under both metrics (3.0 bWAR, 3.9 fWAR). He posted a 195-117 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.216 WHiP, striking out 2147 batters with 695 walks in his 2567.1 innings. . Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. The Cardinals are calm. Reports on Wednesday, October 26th, say that Wainwright will return to the Cardinals for his 19th MLB season with the club, as he continues to chase his 200th career win. If he misses the first week or so, no big deal. The only active pitchers behind Wainwright (2,375 2/3) in the 2,000-inning club are 36-year-old David Price (2,103 1/3), 35-year-old Johnny Cueto (2,034 1/3) and 32-year-old Madison Bumgarner (2,034). But its just not going to happen anymore the way pitchers are used now and the way free agency is and (how) careers go. While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. In his final inning, Wainwright didnt touch higher than 85 mph. His induction was most likely heavily influenced by his passing, but I think sets the bar for what a pitcher needs to have accomplished in recent years. Let's take a look at Flaherty. With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. Adam Wainwright. All of the starters have a JAWS of at least 42.0; roughly speaking, thats the equivalent of seven six-win seasons, a point at which I start to take mid-career pitchers seriously. Pujols, Wainwright and Molina were each given an introduction and trotted out to the diamond to be greeted by 16 Cardinals Hall of Famers. 1st stage: All good. He was the first pitcher aged 39 or older since Mike Mussina in 2008 to throw at least 200 innings with an ERA+ of 125 or better. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, What injury? Verlanders resume is impressive; hes led the league in strikeouts four times, wins twice, won a pitching triple crown, and thrown two no-hitters. He just turned 30 on August 7, and hes already fifth in JAWS and third in peak among center fielders, but this has been largely a lost year due to a right calf strain thats already required the longest recovery time in at least six years. Todays pitcher will make it more for efficiency. It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Rolen, a member of the Cardinals Hall of Fame, was welcomed to the 'family' of Hall of Famers during an event and press conference Feb. 28, 2023 in Cooperstown, N.Y. But he didnt become a full-time starter until his age-24 season, and hes now pitched for a quarter of the American League teams.
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